Dean made hurricane this morning. The official forecast has him strengthening rapidly and crossing the yucatan peninsula as a cat 4. Officially, he’ll curve a bit north and slam onto land somewhere around the Mexico/Texas border. One of the models, however, GFDL, has recently started to sing a different tune:

As you can see, GFDL is currently predicting that Dean will head straight towards New Orleans, which it will hit as a strong Cat 4 Hurricane. Needless to say, this would be the end of the City.

It’s way, way too early to know what Dean’s gonna do. GFDL will be re-run to see if it is consistently making this prediction. The other models will also be run as well, to see if they are in agreement. Even if the basic track is correct, small deviations in the hurricane’s course can make all the difference.

But I’m worried.

Something to say?